The DarkUFO Episode Cup - R3 - Match 5

Update: 29th July Here is Locke4God's daily dose of Stats goodness

STATISTICAL UPDATE:


Well I was hoping to wait until at least the fourth round to say this, but if you pull up the brackets link, and look at the first page, you're probably looking at the eventual winner. Oh there's time, and somebody from page 2 or 3 could sneak in, but with so few brackets missing over the last few matches, it's getting more and more difficult to catch up, unless of course if we have a big upset.

The great news is that 1 of the top 4 brackets that had shared the lead coming into today, will miss today's match. And then there were 3. But only 5 total brackets in the top 28 of the current standing lost, which means 82% of those top brackets were correct, and that means 23 total brackets still stand within 3 of the overall lead. If you're below that mark, you need all of them to lose, which is why 82% picking correctly is a bad thing for you. Bring on the close matchups!!


BREAKDOWN:

Of brackets with,,,
76 Points - 3 still remain standing after today, with 75% picking correctly
75 Points - 5 of the 6 coming into today were correct for 83%
74 Points - All 3 bracket here stayed within 2 of the lead, and,,,
73 Points - 12 of the 15 Brackets (80%) were correct in picking todays match, and remain 3 points down.

In regards to MAX points, the above standings reflect the same results with the exception of those 3 points off the lead. 2 of those 15 Brackets have already guaranteed themselves losses in upcoming matches are actually behind the rest of those brackets, and so in regards to MAX points, 11 of 13 Brackets (85%) that were 3 off the lead, were correct in picking todays match. And that places just 22 brackets within 3 of the overall lead.


OUTLOOK:

Today's result though promisses an interesting 4th round match between the show's very first episode, and it's most recent one, as, baring a major major upset tomorrow, "Pilot" will meet "The Incident". These are two iconic episodes, and could deliver a major shakeup in the standings in round 4.

Tomorrow's match does feature "The Incident" vs. "Because you Left" and while I've suggested "The Incident" is the favorite, it isn't so close that we couldn't see an upset. Remember, the more people that fall out of contention or who have missed in the previous round, the more unpredictable these matches become. Good Luck.

Congratulations to Exodus for taking the 4th Qtr-Final place.

Exodus 1215 70%
Cabin Fever 513 30%

We still have the same 2 bracket leaders,Taylor Clark and Amparo "aarlost" Plaza, but it's still anyone's game. How is your bracket fairing? How are your picks looking after today's polls. View Latest Brackets.

Later on Today our stats guru Locke4God will be presenting us with his stats analysis of the brackets and what it means for your chances of winning. We will update this post so keep checking back.

As always let us know in the comments who you voted for and why. You can also follow along in the Official Episode Cup Thread.

Pilot
Jack, Kate and Charlie return to the group, but the transceiver is broken. Sayid Jarrah fixes the apparatus and organizes an expedition with Kate, Charlie, Shannon Rutherford and her brother Boone Carlyle and the dangerous James "Sawyer" Ford to hike and climb a mountain to transmit a SOS. The group receives a sixteen years old distress call from a French woman in the island instead and kills a polar bear. They return to the survivor's base and decide to hide the information to preserve the hope of the group.

Flashes Before Your Eyes
After Desmond saves Claire from drowning, Charlie and Hurley suspect that he can see the future. So they try to get him drunk to get some answers out of him.