Update: 15:30 Here is our daily dose of stats goodness thanks to Locke4God.
It's funny that as the tournament moves on, and the matches become more and more important, that those at the top, seem to be more and more in agreement.
100% of the top 10 brackets in both current and MAX Points picked todays match correctly, just as they did yesterday and the day before. 88% of the top 32 Brackets in current points were correct today, and 87% of the top 30 in MAX Points picked correctly. Not one of the 4 in that top group who missed had their miss moving on to the Semi Final, and all 4 misses had picked Cabin Fever, as opposed to it's previous 2nd Round opponent..
Current Point Leaders,
of those with,,,
73 Points - All 4 current leaders picked correctly. Somebody is going to have to miss!
72 Points - All 6 waiting for a share of the lead picked correctly
71 Points - Just 3 of this group picked correctly, meaning 2 lost. Only 60%
70 Points - And 15 of the 17 Brackets still 3 off the lead, hang in there for their shot at the top. That's 88%.
MAX Point Leaders fared similarly,
of those with,,,
189 Points - All 4 leaders picked correctly. These are the same 4 that share the current lead.
188 Points - All 6 were correct
187 Points - 3 of 5 were correct. The same 60% as shown above, but
186 Points - Only 13 Brackets, not 15, share a tie at -3 off the lead in MAX Points. That means 2 in the current standings are guaranteed another loss before the end. Still only 2 brackets lost in this category and that's good for 87%.
Overall another easy day for most of us, but that means if you're back in the back that you're not making progress. As it looks for now, you've got 2 great chances to move up. That's the potential semi-final match between "The Incident" and "The Constant", and then of course between the winner of that match and most likely, ",,, Looking Glass" in the final.. Those are your two matches where you will move up the most.
But there are some other matches where we could see upsets. Will ",,, Looking Glass" actually get past the semi final? It would be an upset, but it could certainly happen, and don't forget about the possible quarterfinal match between "Pilot" and "The Incident". That could turn up as a suprise as well and really upset the standings.
Good luck to you all moving forward.
Congratulations to Through the Looking Glass for taking the 3rd Qtr-Final place.
Through the Looking Glass 2402 82%
The Man Behind the Curtain 527 18%
We still have the same 2 bracket leaders,Taylor Clark and Amparo "aarlost" Plaza, but it's still anyone's game. How is your bracket fairing? How are your picks looking after today's polls. View Latest Brackets.
Later on Today our stats guru Locke4God will be presenting us with his stats analysis of the brackets and what it means for your chances of winning. We will update this post so keep checking back.
As always let us know in the comments who you voted for and why. You can also follow along in the Official Episode Cup Thread.
Locke, Ben, and Hurley continue their search for the cabin so that Locke can talk to Jacob. Back on the boat, Keamy prepares to take off again, this time for a all-out assault on the island.
Danielle Rousseau arrives in the camp of survivors at the beach and advises that "The Others" are coming, since there is a black smoke in the sky, and they have three choices: run, hide, or die. Jack recalls his meeting with Ana Lucia Cortez (Michelle Rodriguez) in the airport. Meanwhile, the group is launching the raft in the sea. Sawyer tells Jack the conversation he had with his father in a bar in Australia. Jack, Kate, Locke, Hurley and the boring Leslie Arzt (Daniel Roebuck) go in an expedition to bring explosives from the Black Rock to blow the hatch and shelter the survivors against "The Others". Meanwhile, Jin and Sun make peace and there are farewells to Michael, Walt, Sawyer and Jin as they finally set sail on their makeshift raft to find help and safety.