Update: 8th August The Polls have been closed and now we await the Semi-Finals which start on Monday. The Constant becomes our 4th semi-finalist. We've also updated the brackets and results.
The Constant 1651 64%
There's No Place Like Home 948 36%
Update: 15:00 Here is the final starts update before the Semi-Finals next week.
Help me out here, because this isn’t adding up. Today’s match is roughly 60-40, but HOW? A look at the top 41 Brackets (Everybody within 5 of the lead) reveals that 93% of them picked “The Constant” to win. So how does it only have 60? Not that “There’s No Place Like Home” isn’t a quality episode, but I imagine some of you may be out there trying to play spoiler. Regardless it looks as though “The Constant” will go through in the end, and that means just 38 Brackets will remain among those within 5 after today. Just think, if you’re one of those down by 5, if you had only picked one of those matches you lost in the 2nd Round correctly, you’d be right there in contention. Still, you have time to jump up to the first page of leaders by the end of this, which will give you some major bragging rights.
None of the top 15 Brackets lost today’s match however, and that means that nobody still in contention for a top 3 finish will loose their chance at that today. Those who still have a chance to place are listed below underneath the scenarios it would take to get them to the end. 15 Brackets still remain alive, and good luck to you all as we hit the Semi-Finals.
Constant (Semi Final), Looking Glass (Final)
1st: Taylor Clark (Could place 2nd in Tie-Breaker with Ampara Plaza)
2nd: Amparo Plaza (Could place 1st in Tie-Breaker with Taylor Clark)
3rd: David Kidd or Nathan Susag (TBD via Tie Breaker)
Incident (Semi Final), Looking Glass (Final)
1st: Omi Papa
2nd: Adam S (Could place 3rd in Tie-Breaker with Matthew Collier)
3rd: Matthew Collier (Could place 2nd in Tie-Breaker with Adam S)
Constant (Semi Final), Constant (Final)
1st: Jonathan Dowkes (Could place 2nd in Tie-Breaker with Adam Scott)
2nd: Adam Scott (Could place 1st in Tie-Break with Jonathan Dowkes)
3rd: Joseph Callahan or Chris Sheppard (TBD via Tie-Breaker)
Incident (Semi Final), Incident (Final)
1st: Jeff Reno
3rd: Jack Kelly, Robert Patterson & Andrea Gangl (Any 2 of these 3 could place 2nd or 3rd TBD in a Tie-Breaker)
SEASON VS SEASON:
Below are the records for each season to date. I thought about compiling these after a conversation I had yesterday with another site visitor who posed a theory that I've heard a lot, as to whether the later seasons get an unfair boost simply because they are newer episodes. Take a look for a moment, decide for yourself, and I've listed the episodes for each season to the right that have made the final 4. Below that, the episodes to make the elite 8 and the episodes, followed below that by the number in the sweet 16.
Season 1: 9-14
Season 2: 10-10 Live Together, Die Alone
Season 3: 16-14 Through The Looking Glass
Season 4: 11-9 The Constant
Season 5: 13-12 The Incident
Season 1: 2- Pilot/ Exodus
Season 2: 1- Live Together, Die Alone
Season 3: 2- Through The Looking Glass/ The Man From Tallahassee
Season 4: 2- The Constant/ There's No Place Like Home
Season 5: 1- The Incident
Season 1: 2
Season 2: 3
Season 3: 5
Season 4: 3
Season 5: 3
(Now I do have a disclaimer. I have missed an episode somewhere that would have a 1-1 record by itself. Since that episode would obviously add 1 win and 1 loss to the same season, I'm not going to the trouble of trying to find it. The results remain very very close to the way you see them, and wouldn’t effectively change anything.)
Now looking at this I notice a few things. Season 1, doesn't have a final 4 episode, and it has the only loosing record of any season. Season 2 also has the 2nd worst record. And you might say of the 4 finalists, Season 2's is probably the weakest, meaning the only real competitors are from the final 3 seasons.
BUT!! Season 1 & 2 have exactly the same number of final 8 episodes (3) as do seasons 4 & 5 combined, and while the latter 3 seasons do have winning records, none of them are by any means significantly better than any other season with the exception of season 1. Season 1 even has 2 episodes to Season 5’s 1 episode in the final 8. Also the 4 finalists are spread out over 4 seasons going back to season 2, and you don't get much more even than that.
And if you keep going to the Sweet 16 number, it looks like there's more of a season 3 bias than anything. A lot of good episodes from that year, which is funny, because the first half of that season took some pretty good shots from critics. And if you notice, the episodes that perform well in the cup, come from very late in that season.
So decide for yourself. I don’t know what the general consensus is. I tend to think that it’s a logical idea that a new episode would have an advantage and so people sort of tend to believe that is true, but I don’t think the number really bare that out. Slightly yes, but Season 2 is still doing very well, and certainly Season 3 is every bit as or more competitive as the past 2 have been. I just thought it was a good discussion though, so bring on your own evidence either way in the boards, and we’ll take a look.
Congratulations to The Incident for being our 3rd Semi-Finalist.
The Incident 1566 57%
Pilot 1184 43%
We still have the same 2 bracket leaders,Taylor Clark and Amparo "aarlost" Plaza, but it's still anyone's game. How is your bracket fairing? How are your picks looking after today's polls. View Latest Brackets.
Later on Today our stats guru Locke4God will be presenting us with his stats analysis of the brackets and what it means for your chances of winning. We will update this post so keep checking back.
Today sees the last of the Qtr-Final Matches, pitching last years winner against the Season 4 Finale... who will take the honors.
As always let us know in the comments who you voted for and why. You can also follow along in the Official Episode Cup Thread.
During the helicopter ride to the ship, Desmond's consciousness begins jumping back and forth between present day 2004 and 1996. He is forced to find Daniel Faraday in 1996 in order to get answers and stop the jumps.
There's No Place Like Home
Ben, Locke, and Hurley go to The Orchid, but Keamy and his men beat them there. Jack and Kate go after the helicopter, and are later joined by Sawyer. Sayid comes back to the island with a rescue boat, and then goes after them too. Ben tries to escape Keamy's custody so that he and Locke can follow through with Jacob's request to move the island. Michael tries to neutralize the explosives on the boat, while the "Oceanic 6" move closer to rescue.